Drake Maye is now the prohibitive MVP favorite after Matthew Stafford's poor MNF outing
- - Drake Maye is now the prohibitive MVP favorite after Matthew Stafford's poor MNF outing
Ben FawkesDecember 30, 2025 at 9:25 PM
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The 2025-26 NFL MVP race has narrowed to two quarterbacks — Matthew Stafford and Drake Maye — looking to win their first MVP honor, and before the Rams' Monday Night Football game against the Atlanta Falcons, it appeared to be Stafford's to lose.
Unfortunately, after a three-interception performance in a 27-24 loss to the Falcons, Stafford may have done just that.
Stafford entered Week 17 as the -210 favorite at BetMGM to win the award, with Maye at +165. Maye had the great fortune of playing a New York Jets team with no interest in winning, but still carved them up to the tune of 19-of-21 passing for 256 yards and five touchdowns. He also had three carries for 22 yards for good measure.
The MVP odds were changing constantly on Monday night, but Stafford's poor play in the first half and comeback effort falling just short left Maye as a prohibitive favorite coming out of the game.
On Tuesday morning, Maye was as high as -700 to win the award at BetMGM, before some buyback took him to -500 (implied probability of 83.3%). Stafford is at +325. Bills QB Josh Allen is among three players with the next-best odds at 250-1.
Maye has the second-most wagers (6.5%) and most total dollars wagered (14.11%) at BetMGM to win the award and represents the sportsbook's biggest liability.
Entering his second season, Maye opened with 66-1 odds to win the award at BetMGM, but has led the Patriots to a 13-3 record and their first AFC East title since 2019. He also leads all QBs in Total QBR (76.5), Expected Points Added (108.4) and completion percentage (71.7%).
The Patriots are 11-point home favorites in Week 18 against the Miami Dolphins, while the Rams are 7.5-point home favorites against the Arizona Cardinals.
Source: “AOL Sports”
